Bivariate Gaussian mixture–based equivalent linearization method for stochastic seismic analysis of nonlinear structures     

Sang‐ri Yi  Ziqi Wang  Junho Song 《地震工程与结构动力学》2018,47(3):678-696

To address challenges in stochastic seismic analysis of nonlinear structures, this paper further develops a recently proposed Gaussian mixture–based equivalent linearization method (GM‐ELM). The GM‐ELM uses a Gaussian mixture distribution model to approximate the probabilistic distribution of a nonlinear system response. Using properties of the Gaussian mixture model, GM‐ELM can decompose the non‐Gaussian response of a nonlinear system into multiple Gaussian responses of linear single–degree of freedom oscillators. With the set of the equivalent linear systems identified by GM‐ELM, response statistics as crossing rate and first‐passage probability can be computed conveniently using theories of linear random vibration analysis. However, the original version of GM‐ELM may lead to an inaccurate estimate because of the heuristic parameters of the linear system introduced to supplement insufficient information. To overcome this limitation and define unique equivalent linear systems, this paper proposes a further developed version of GM‐ELM, which uses a mixture of bivariate Gaussian densities instead of univariate models. Moreover, to facilitate the use of elastic response spectra for estimating the mean peak responses of a nonlinear structure, a new response spectrum combination rule is proposed for GM‐ELM. Two numerical examples of hysteretic structural systems are presented in this paper to illustrate the application of the bivariate GM‐ELM to nonlinear stochastic seismic analysis. The analysis results obtained by the bivariate GM‐ELM are compared with those obtained by the univariate GM‐ELM, the conventional equivalent linearization method, the tail equivalent linearization method, and Monte Carlo simulation. The supporting source code and data are available for download at https://github.com/yisangri/GitHub‐bGM‐ELM‐code.git  相似文献   

基于SODA资料的南海表层风能输入的空间分布与长期趋势研究     

杨倩  崔超然  张宇  刘志宇  管玉平  黄瑞新 《热带海洋学报》2018,37(6):41-48

海面风不仅是驱动上层海洋运动的主要动力, 其能量也是维持海洋表层流动的主要机械能来源。为了分析南海表层流风能输入的变化, 用SODA(Simple Ocean Data Assimilation)(1901—2010)资料估算了风向南海表层流(表层地转流+表层非地转流)的能量输入。结果表明, 风向南海表层流、表层地转流和表层非地转流输入的能量总体均呈减少趋势, 110年间分别减小了约56%、65%和49%。导致风能输入减小的最主要因素是风应力的减弱(减小了35%)。由于南海受季风系统的控制, 风向表层流及其各成分输入的能量呈现出显著的季节性变化。冬季风能输入最强, 高值区位于南海西部及北部区域, 呈一个显著的“回力镖”状结构。这些结果对深入认识南海环流具有理论意义。  相似文献   

利用背景噪声成像研究合肥-金华剖面地壳速度结构及径向各向异性的东西差异   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

吴珊珊  姜明明  何玉梅  赵亮  艾印双 《地球物理学报》2018,61(2):584-592

背景噪声成像能够为地壳内部结构提供地震波速的观测证据，能够增进对地壳结构与物性的认识.本文利用背景噪声成像方法对合肥-金华流动地震台阵55个台站数据进行了分析反演，获得了华北克拉通与华南块体东部构造边界附近区域的地壳S波速度与径向各向异性结构.成像结果表明，以东经118°-118.5°附近为界，西北部表现为地壳低速异常和中下地壳正的径向各向异性，东南部表现为地壳高速异常，下部地壳存在负的径向各向异性.由此，本文推测地震波速结构差异反映了地壳内部物质与温度的差异，这种差异与两个地区自中生代晚期以来经历了截然不同的岩浆活动相关.  相似文献   

Near‐surface hydraulic conductivity of northern hemisphere glaciers          下载免费PDF全文

Ian T. Stevens  Tristram D.L. Irvine‐Fynn  Philip R. Porter  Joseph M. Cook  Arwyn Edwards  Martin Smart  Brian J. Moorman  Andy J. Hodson  Andrew C. Mitchell 《水文研究》2018,32(7):850-865

The hydrology of near‐surface glacier ice remains a neglected aspect of glacier hydrology despite its role in modulating meltwater delivery to downstream environments. To elucidate the hydrological characteristics of this near‐surface glacial weathering crust, we describe the design and operation of a capacitance‐based piezometer that enables rapid, economical deployment across multiple sites and provides an accurate, high‐resolution record of near‐surface water‐level fluctuations. Piezometers were employed at 10 northern hemisphere glaciers, and through the application of standard bail–recharge techniques, we derive hydraulic conductivity (K) values from 0.003 to 3.519 m day^?1, with a mean of 0.185 ± 0.019 m day^?1. These results are comparable to those obtained in other discrete studies of glacier near‐surface ice, and for firn, and indicate that the weathering crust represents a hydrologically inefficient aquifer. Hydraulic conductivity correlated positively with water table height but negatively with altitude and cumulative short‐wave radiation since the last synoptic period of either negative air temperatures or turbulent energy flux dominance. The large range of K observed suggests complex interactions between meteorological influences and differences arising from variability in ice structure and crystallography. Our data demonstrate a greater complexity of near‐surface ice hydrology than hitherto appreciated and support the notion that the weathering crust can regulate the supraglacial discharge response to melt production. The conductivities reported here, coupled with typical supraglacial channel spacing, suggest that meltwater can be retained within the weathering crust for at least several days. Not only does this have implications for the accuracy of predictive meltwater run‐off models, but we also argue for biogeochemical processes and transfers that are strongly conditioned by water residence time and the efficacy of the cascade of sediments, impurities, microbes, and nutrients to downstream ecosystems. Because continued atmospheric warming will incur rising snowline elevations and glacier thinning, the supraglacial hydrological system may assume greater importance in many mountainous regions, and consequently, detailing weathering crust hydraulics represents a research priority because the flow path it represents remains poorly constrained.  相似文献   

Application of Ultra-shallow Seismic Survey to the Wanggezhuang Fault in Qingdao     

Yang Qiyan  You Huichuan  Di Long 《中国地震研究》2018,32(4):574-583

At present, there is less theoretical research and practical experience in the aspect of ultra-shallow seismic exploration to the target layers at depths of only tens of meters both at home and abroad. Seismic exploration plays an important role in the location of faults and active structures, but the depth dozens of meters below the ground surface is the blind area of any kind of deep and shallow seismic exploration. Starting from the point of view of detecting urban active faults, and using related theories and methods of geology, geophysics and mathematics, the paper discusses the preconditions for acquiring efficient ultra-shallow seismic survey results in complicated geological backgrounds in Qingdao. Taking the Qingdao area as an example in this paper, we study the depth condition of Quaternary deposits, and apply 4-8 stacking folds to satisfy the requirement to get the exploration results with high-resolution and high-SNR. Preliminary results reveal that selecting a proper surveillance layout is one of the keys to acquire authentic exploration results in ultra-shallow P-wave reflection exploration. Our results also show that ultra-shallow seismic reflection method in detecting faults in the Qingdao area has good application prospects.  相似文献   

黄土高填方场地地震动参数特性分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

来春景  朱彦鹏  王春青  马天忠 《地震工程学报》2018,40(6):1168-1173,1223

削山造地后形成的黄土高填方场地对地震动参数特性影响较大。以实际工程项目为研究对象,构造不同填土高度的计算剖面,采用一维等效线性化方法计算土层地震动参数,分析基岩地震动输入参数和填土高度对场地地表放大效应的影响。研究表明:场地地震放大系数随填土层的高度增加呈递减趋势。在多遇地震动和基本地震动作用下,场地地震放大系数递减速度比罕遇地震动和极罕遇地震动作用下要大。当填土高度达到一定程度后放大效应趋于平稳;填土高度的变化,会改变地表加速度反应谱的形状。填土高度越大,地表反应谱长周期的频谱成分越显著,反应谱曲线向后移,反应谱峰值点均明显向长周期移动,并出现多个峰值点,反应谱特征周期值变大;下伏基岩的刚度越大,地表峰值加速度的放大效应越大。地表加速度反应谱特征值相比变小。当填土高度增大到一定程度时,下伏基岩的种类对地表地震动特性影响则不明显。该研究成果对高填方场地的地震安全评价和结构抗震设计提供参考。  相似文献   

马尼拉地震带海啸对广东沿海影响的数值研究——潮汐与海啸的非线性作用的影响     

曹永港  刘长建  刘同木  冯砚青  刘愉强  廖世智 《中国地震》2018,34(2):258-269

基于COMCOT数值模型,建立了天文潮与海啸耦合数学模型,对日本"311"海啸进行了模拟验证。针对马尼拉地震带海啸,通过设计海啸震源的计算,分析广东省沿海海啸风险,从数值上得出了海啸引发的最大增水值以及海啸到达广东省沿岸的时间。  相似文献   

高精度温度计在水温观测中的仪器稳定性分析     

邱永平 《中国地震》2018,34(4):828-836

利用宁波地震台水温10年来的单测项、6年来的同层比测资料,对高精度温度计的仪器短期和长期稳定性进行分析对比。研究发现仪器长期存在漂移现象,漂移量的大小与每套仪器的系统特性有关,但随着观测时间的延续,漂移量逐渐减少,认为该现象对地震前兆观测影响不大;短期稳定性存在不明原因的阶跃和脉冲现象,但次数不多,幅度不大,如果不是并行观测,较难判别。因此,在资料分析时要考虑仪器的这些问题。有时仪器短期非常稳定,数天至20天整点值为同一测值。  相似文献   

电阻率成像及浅层地震勘探在控盆构造探测中的应用——以万全断裂为例     

周月玲  尤惠川  温超  王燕 《地震地磁观测与研究》2018,39(2):62-69

万全断裂是洋河盆地北缘断裂带组成断裂之一，控制沿线构造活动及地貌发育。断裂走向NE，倾向SE，在沟口处隐伏于第四纪覆盖层，采用电阻率成像和浅层地震联合勘探方法，获得该断裂隐伏段落综合物探异常，结合地质地貌调查，判定隐伏段落展布的具体位置、产状、活动特征及地下结构特征等。研究结果表明，万全断裂隐伏段落走向NE，倾向SE，倾角约75°，上断点埋深约20 m，20—240 m深度可见断裂破碎带（宽约10—20 m）物探异常特征及断裂两侧地层结构差异。该联合探测模式可有效探测复杂地质构造条件下的隐伏活动断裂，具有较强实用性，值得推广。  相似文献   

镇江地震台网理论监测能力评估   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

董晨阳  董建平  陈江鸿  余其鹏 《地震地磁观测与研究》2018,39(3):107-114

基于近震震级公式，对镇江地震台网理论监测能力进行评估，绘制地震监测能力图，以确定监测区不同地点发生地震时能被台网有效分析和定位的地震最小震级。镇江市句容县在该台网理论监测震级最小，为ML1.2—1.3；在镇江及相邻城市，发生M_L 1.8分析认为，以上地震均能被有效监测。  相似文献